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Table 6 Accuracy, sensitivity and specificity of the proposed prediction model in the test dataset at different thresholds

From: Development of a severity score based on the International Classification of Disease-10 for general patients visiting emergency centers

Survival probability

Threshold

True positive

False positive

True negative

False negative

Accuracy

Sensitivity

Specificity

0.1

2.197

8824

87

4,570,611

6444

0.999 (0.999—0.999)

0.578 (0.570—0.586)

1.000 (1.000—1.000)

0.2

1.386

8829

169

4,570,529

6339

0.999 (0.999—0.999)

0.585 (0.577—0.593)

1.000 (1.000—1.000)

0.3

0.847

9049

342

4,570,356

6219

0.999 (0.999—0.999)

0.593 (0.585—0.600)

1.000 (1.000—1.000)

0.4

0.405

9154

497

4,570,201

6114

0.999 (0.999—0.999)

0.600 (0.592—0.607)

1.000 (1.000—1.000)

0.5

0

9329

820

4,569,878

5939

0.999 (0.998—0.999)

0.611 (0.603—0.619)

1.000 (1.000—1.000)

0.6

-0.405

9457

1074

4,569,624

5811

0.998 (0.998—0.999)

0.619 (0.612—0.627)

1.000 (1.000—1.000)

0.7

-0.847

9695

1662

4,569,036

5573

0.998 (0.998—0.998)

0.635 (0.627—0.643)

1.000 (1.000—1.000)

0.8

-1.386

9951

2360

4,568,338

5317

0.998 (0.998—0.998)

0.652 (0.644—0.659)

0.999 (0.999—1.000)

0.9

-2.197

10,332

4470

4,566,228

4936

0.998 (0.998—0.998)

0.677 (0.669—0.684)

0.999 (0.999—0.999)

0.99

-4.595

11,961

42,963

4,527,735

3307

0.990 (0.990—0.990)

0.783 (0.777—0.790)

0.991 (0.991—0.991)

0.999

-6.907

14,434

680,757

3,889,941

834

0.851 (0.851—0.852)

0.945 (0.942—0.949)

0.851 (0.851—0.851)

Youden

-5.869

13,439

190,555

4,380,143

1829

0.958 (0.958—0.958)

0.880 (0.875—0.885)

0.958 (0.958—0.958)

  1. The numbers in parentheses represent 95% confidence intervals